“Print the money” has been called crazy talk, but it may be the only sane solution to a $19 trillion federal debt that has doubled in the last 10 years. The solution of Abraham Lincoln and the American colonists can still work today.
“Reckless,” “alarming,” “disastrous,” “swashbuckling,” “playing with fire,” “crazy talk,” “lost in a forest of nonsense”: these are a few of the labels applied by media commentators to Donald Trump’s latest proposal for dealing with the federal debt. On Monday, May 9th, the presumptive Republican presidential candidate said on CNN, “You print the money.”
The remark was in response to a firestorm created the previous week, when Trump was asked if the US should pay its debt in full or possibly negotiate partial repayment. He replied, “I would borrow, knowing that if the economy crashed, you could make a deal.” Commentators took this to mean a default. On May 9, Trump countered that he was misquoted:
People said I want to go and buy debt and default on debt – these people are crazy. This is the United States government. First of all, you never have to default because you print the money, I hate to tell you, okay? So there’s never a default.
That remark wasn’t exactly crazy. It echoed one by former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, who said in 2011:
The United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to do that. So there is zero probability of default.
Paying the government’s debts by just issuing the money is as American as apple pie – if you go back far enough. Benjamin Franklin attributed the remarkable growth of the American colonies to this innovative funding solution. Abraham Lincoln revived the colonial system of government-issued money when he endorsed the printing of $450 million in US Notes or “greenbacks” during the Civil War. The greenbacks not only helped the Union win the war but triggered a period of robust national growth and saved the taxpayers about $14 billion in interest payments.
But back to Trump. He went on to explain:
I said if we can buy back government debt at a discount – in other words, if interest rates go up and we can buy bonds back at a discount – if we are liquid enough as a country we should do that.
Apparently he was referring to the fact that when interest rates go up, long-term bonds at the lower rate become available on the secondary market at a discount. Anyone who holds the bonds to maturity still gets full value, but many investors want to cash out early and are willing to take less. As explained on MorningStar.com:
If a bond with a 5% coupon and a ten-year maturity is sold on the secondary market today while newly issued ten-year bonds have a 6% coupon, then the 5% bond will sell for $92.56 (par value $100).
But critics still were not satisfied. In an article titled “Why Donald Trump’s Debt Proposal Is Reckless,” CNNMoney said:
[T]he federal government doesn’t have any money to buy debt back with. The U.S. already has $19 trillion in debt. Trump’s plan would require the U.S. Treasury to issue new debt to buy old debt.
Trump, however, was not talking about borrowing the money. He was talking about printing the money. CNNMoney’s response was:
That can cause inflation (or even hyperinflation), and send prices of everything from food to rent skyrocketing.
The Hyperinflation that Wasn’t
CNN was not alone in calling the notion of printing our way out of debt recklessly inflationary. But would it be? The Federal Reserve has already bought $4.5 trillion in assets, $2.7 trillion of which were federal securities, simply by “printing the money.”
When the Fed’s QE program was initiated, critics called it recklessly hyperinflationary. But it did not even create the modest 2% inflation the Fed was aiming for. QE was combined with ZIRP – zero interest rates for banks – encouraging borrowing for speculation, driving up the stock market and real estate. But the Consumer Price Index, productivity and jobs barely budged.
While the Fed has stopped its QE program for the time being, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan have jumped in, buying back massive amounts of their own governments’ debts by simply issuing the money. There too, the inflation needle has barely budged. As noted on CNBC in February:
Central banks have been pumping money into the global economy without a whole lot to show for it other than sharply higher stock prices, and even that has been on the downturn for the past year.
Growth remains anemic, and worries are escalating that the U.S. and the rest of the world are on the brink of a recession, despite bargain-basement interest rates and trillions in liquidity.
Helicopter Money Goes Mainstream
European economists and central bankers are wringing their hands over what to do about a flagging economy despite radical austerity measures and increasingly unrepayable debt. One suggestion gaining traction is “helicopter money” – just issue money and drop it directly into the economy in some way. In QE as done today, the newly issued money makes it no further than the balance sheets of banks. It does not get into the producing economy or the pockets of consumers, where it would need to go in order to create the demand necessary to stimulate productivity. Helicopter money would create that demand. Proposed alternatives include a universal national dividend; zero or low interest loans to local governments; and “people’s QE” for infrastructure, job creation, student debt relief, etc.
Simply buying back federal securities with money issued by the central bank (or the U.S. Treasury) would also get money into the real economy, if Congress were allowed to increase its budget in tandem. As observed in The Economist on May 1, 2016:
Advocates of helicopter money do not really intend to throw money out of aircraft. Broadly speaking, they argue for fiscal stimulus—in the form of government spending, tax cuts or direct payments to citizens—financed with newly printed money rather than through borrowing or taxation. Quantitative easing (QE) qualifies, so long as the central bank buying the government bonds promises to hold them to maturity, with interest payments and principal remitted back to the government like most central-bank profits.
As Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, wrote in response to the debt ceiling crisis in November 2010:
There is no reason that the Fed can’t just buy this debt (as it is largely doing) and hold it indefinitely. If the Fed holds the debt, there is no interest burden for future taxpayers. The Fed refunds its interest earnings to the Treasury every year. Last year the Fed refunded almost $80 billion in interest to the Treasury, nearly 40 percent of the country’s net interest burden. And the Fed has other tools to ensure that the expansion of the monetary base required to purchase the debt does not lead to inflation.
An even cleaner solution would be to simply void out the debt held by the Fed. That was the 2011 proposal of then-presidential candidate Ron Paul for dealing with the debt ceiling crisis. As his proposal was explained in Time Magazine, today the Treasury pays interest on its securities to the Fed, which returns 90% of these payments to the Treasury. Despite this shell game of payments, the $1.7 trillion in US bonds owned by the Fed is still counted toward the debt ceiling. Paul’s plan:
Get the Fed and the Treasury to rip up that debt. It’s fake debt anyway. And the Fed is legally allowed to return the debt to the Treasury to be destroyed.
Congressman Alan Grayson, a Democrat, also endorsed this proposal.
Financial author Richard Duncan makes a strong case for going further than just monetizing existing debt. He argues that under current market conditions, the US could actually rebuild its collapsing infrastructure by just printing the money, without causing price inflation. Prices go up when demand (money) exceeds supply (goods and services); and with automation and the availability of cheap labor in vast global markets today, supply can keep up with demand for decades to come. Duncan observes:
The combination of fiat money and Globalization creates a unique moment in history where the governments of the developed economies can print money on an aggressive scale without causing inflation. They should take advantage of this once-in-history opportunity . . . .
Returning the Power to Create Money to the People
The right of government to issue its own money was one of the principles for which the American Revolution was fought. Americans are increasingly waking up to the fact that the vast majority of the money supply is no longer issued by the government but is created by private banks when they make loans; and that with that power goes enormous power over the economy itself.
The issue that should be debated is one that dominated political discussion in the 19th century but that few candidates are even aware of today: should creation and control of the money supply be public or private? Donald Trump’s willingness to transgress the conservative taboo against public money creation is a welcome step in opening that debate.
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Ellen Brown is an attorney, Founder of the Public Banking Institute, and author of twelve books, including the best-selling Web of Debt. Her latest book, The Public Bank Solution, explores successful public banking models historically and globally. Her 300+ blog articles are at EllenBrown.com. She can be heard biweekly on “It’s Our Money with Ellen Brown” on PRN.FM.
Filed under: Ellen Brown Articles/Commentary | Tagged: Donald Trump, federal debt, infrastructure crisis, public banking, quantitative easing |
WEB OF DEBT BLOG 
Printing money works, in our global system, when you are the petro-fiat reserve, and (also in this world that we live) you stay the petro-fiat reserve as long as you have the biggest gun. No?
Dr. Anthony Horvath author of” CAPITALlessISM … published recently. His views about national debts are at http://www.capitallessism.com
Don’t print money to pay off the 19 trillion national debt. Some politicians will label it as an irresponsible inflationary measure leading to financial anarchy. Instead consider a real cool solution. A LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING RATIONAL FOR CANCELLING 95% OF THE NATIONAL DEBTS… and some ensuing interests that are suffocating the national economy. Originally these national debts were loans by banks to governments. But only 5% of the loans were from “real capital reserves” (like pension funds and saving deposits in banks). The other 95% of these loans were made up with just “make-believe” non-existent capitals created through ‘’fractional reserve banking process’’.. (an exclusive privileged right of the banks) guaranteed by the taxpayers, because there wasn’t enough real capital in the bank’s reserves. So the government is in a legal position to cancel this virtual 95% part of the national debt .. or to pay them off also with ‘’ghost capital also’’. What do you think? … I appreciate your comments.
Paying off the national debt, which is the sum total of all the Treasuries held in the Federal reserve, is in reality a simple operation of reversing the entries to return the bond sums back to investors. It’s only debt from the government side, like your savings account is a debt from your bank’s side. From your side it’s wealth!
Great column. I have been trying to catch up on this issue for the past year and I am convinced you are right about the need to fix monetary tools. May I ask how you would have the Federal Government print money? It would seem the best way for the public to accept the new paradigm would be to stick to the familiar. That is have the Fed buy the Government Bonds, keep them and return the interest as profit. As per:
As Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, wrote in response to the debt ceiling crisis in November 2010:
There is no reason that the Fed can’t just buy this debt (as it is largely doing) and hold it indefinitely. If the Fed holds the debt, there is no interest burden for future taxpayers. The Fed refunds its interest earnings to the Treasury every year. Last year the Fed refunded almost $80 billion in interest to the Treasury, nearly 40 percent of the country’s net interest burden. And the Fed has other tools to ensure that the expansion of the monetary base required to purchase the debt does not lead to inflation.
Dean Baker is right. By buying up spare money – and there is plenty of that with all the QE still around and looking for a home- the Fed can quarantine it out of circulation. The thing is though the fed pays interest to the buyers of the bonds, not Treasury.
Best though would be to spend all that money on rebuilding the country’s infrastructure etc. There’s no need to create new money to afford it.
I’m not entirely disagreeing with you, but in a truth-averse society, the “can of worms” are the people who’s interests it serves to keep the public divided and confused on these matters.
You’re not wrong, Darla, but that does not mean that those of us who do understand how the system works should just sit on our hands and wait for the revolution. We should do all we can to spread awareness and activism, as it sure beats doing nothing.
[…] — source ellenbrown.com […]
As Ellen rightly points out, we the people, have lost the sovereignty of our money, not to an elected, democratic government, but to private banks. This is fundamentally wrong and we must wake up to this and put it right. “Helicopter money” instead of conventional QE is a staggeringly powerful concept that could transform the economies we live in beyond recognition instead of just making the banks richer and driving up equities. What the banks are doing is “Legal Forgery”. When QE was introduced (printing money) gold reached all time highs in the anticipation of massive inflation. This, remarkably, has not happened and does suggest we have a window of opportunity to boost our economies driven by infrastructure improvements, tax reductions and clearing down government debts. I wonder why the Governors of Central Banks can’t see that? Something to do with their relationship with the private banks maybe?
We just need one Prime minister somewhere who does see the potential. They are all sitting on “gold mines” and don’t know it if the following statement from Richard Duncan above is true :
The combination of fiat money and Globalization creates a unique moment in history where the governments of the developed economies can print money on an aggressive scale without causing inflation. They should take advantage of this once-in-history opportunity . . . .
That $19Trillion “government debt” is investor savings stored as bonds in the Fed. It’s called a debt in the same way your savings account in your bank is a debt. It’s a liability for the bank. It doesn’t mean the Fed has to borrow to pay it back. All the fed has to do is a reverse book keeping entry which adds the numbers back to the investors check accounts. The Fed never spends the money invested. It never needs it because it is monetarily sovereign and only spends new money to pay its bills.
The Federal Reserve has too much power over the creation of our currency, period. Their manipulative sleight-of-hand which laughably passes as “economics” today needs to be done away with. As a previous poster commented, it is little more than legal thievery, and continues thanks to a spineless, courtier Congress. Also it is the aquiescence and implicit trust by the citizenry in a system they do not understand that gives it a veneer of legitimacy.
What a strange mix! “Legal thievery” couldn’t be more wrong. How can you steal from thin air? There is certainly manipulation. The bankers/ banksters are always there for government largesse, but it’s just idiot and sold out politicians who are to blame, 100%! You are correct there!
You want to argue semantics? Fine. Call it what you will. The government may have made usury legal so it’s easy to get confused over what to call it.
“When QE was introduced (printing money) gold reached all time highs in the anticipation of massive inflation. This, remarkably, has not happened…..”
My understanding is that the QE funds never actually made it into the ‘real’ economy, but were in fact kept at the FED in the banks ‘Reserves account”, on which the Banks received interest of 0.25%
Why the Banks were prepared to forgo the normal interest rate they received on the ‘mortgage backed securities(loans)”, and opt for 0.25% on their Reserves account deposits would seem to indicate that the Banks were actually selling their Bad Debts to the FED, which will one day have to be written off.
Can Ellen confirm this? Finding factual explanations is not as easy as it would seem in relation to “QE”
[…] needs a revolutionary financial system. If everything is on the table, as Steven Mnuchin says, the Trump team might consider funding its trillion dollar infrastructure plan with newly-issued credit, whether created by the […]
[…] needs a revolutionary financial system. If everything is on the table, as Steven Mnuchin says, the Trump team could consider funding its trillion dollar infrastructure plan with newly-issued credit, whether created by the […]
[…] needs a revolutionary financial system. If everything is on the table, as Steven Mnuchin says, the Trump team could consider funding its trillion dollar infrastructure plan with newly-issued credit, whether created by the […]
[…] needs a revolutionary financial system. If everything is on the table, as Steven Mnuchin says, the Trump team could consider funding its trillion dollar infrastructure plan with newly-issued credit, whether created by the […]
Great column. I have been trying to catch up on this issue for the past year and I am convinced you are right about the need to fix monetary tools. May I ask how you would have the Federal Government print money? It would seem the best way for the public to accept the new paradigm would be to stick to the familiar. That is have the Fed buy the Government Bonds, keep them and return the interest as profit. As per:
As Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, wrote in response to the debt ceiling crisis in November 2010:
There is no reason that the Fed can’t just buy this debt (as it is largely doing) and hold it indefinitely. If the Fed holds the debt, there is no interest burden for future taxpayers. The Fed refunds its interest earnings to the Treasury every year. Last year the Fed refunded almost $80 billion in interest to the Treasury, nearly 40 percent of the country’s net interest burden. And the Fed has other tools to ensure that the expansion of the monetary base required to purchase the debt does not lead to inflation.
I agree that the abolition of the current criminal monetary-system will not happen without a terrible struggle. But the sooner the better. It’s long overdue. That people refuse to educate themselves on the “hows” and “whys” is a shame, as you noted, and too many decent people are and will continue to struggle as a result. You can’t knock anyone for at least trying to awaken folks to what’s happening right in front of them, though….
Sorry i think somehow my comment was not posted correctly, it was meant for the person who responded first to “Joe Polito”…
“I agree that the abolition of the current criminal monetary-system will not happen without a terrible struggle”.
The problem is, If you own the monetary system, you have the power to buy any politician(or, more accurately) ‘ALL politicians’, and once you’ve bought a politician, you own him/her forever……….
[…] suggested that the U.S. federal debt would need to be renegotiated and reminding creditors that “we never have to default because we can print the money.” Trump has long derided hedge fund managers as “paper pushers” who are “getting away […]
[…] ⇧ “Print the Money”: Trump’s “Reckless” Proposal Echoes Franklin and Lin… […]
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